PMP項(xiàng)目管理：項(xiàng)目風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理練習(xí)題４

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1．When the risk event probabilities are multiplied by their respective estimated risk event values (in dollars) and are then added together, the sum represents the:
A．Project manager ’s risk aversion quotient
B．Total project risk events
C．Expected monetary value of the project’s risk
D．Scope planning
當(dāng)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)事件概率乘以他們相應(yīng)的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)事件估計(jì)價(jià)值 ( 以美元計(jì)) ,然后加在一起的總和表示:
A．項(xiàng)目經(jīng)理的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)厭惡系數(shù)
B．總的項(xiàng)目風(fēng)險(xiǎn)事件
C．項(xiàng)目風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的預(yù)期估價(jià)
D．范圍規(guī)劃

2．Which of the following utility functions reflect risk aversion?
A．Uniform
B．Increasing rate
C．Decreasing rate
D．Exponential
下列哪一個(gè)效用函數(shù)反映著厭惡風(fēng)險(xiǎn)?
A．一致性
B．遞增比率
C．遞減比率
D．指數(shù)

3． A project manager states, “I know that the risk exists and am aware of the possible consequences．I am willing to wait and see what happens．I accept the consequences should they occur．” He /she is exercising the method of risk reduction．
A．Transfer
B．Avoidance
C．Mitigation
D．Assumption
某項(xiàng)目經(jīng)理說,"我知道有風(fēng)險(xiǎn)存在,而且注意到其可能的后果我愿意等著看會(huì)發(fā)生什么事萬一他們確實(shí)發(fā)生,我接受其結(jié)果" 他對(duì)于減少風(fēng)險(xiǎn)是在用什么方式
A．轉(zhuǎn)移
B．回避
C．降低
D．接受

4． A project manager states, “I will take the necessary measures required to control this risk by continuously reevaluating it and developing contingency plans or fall-back positions．If the risk event occurs, I will take the appropriate actions.” He/she is exercising the method of risk reduction．
A．Transfer
B．Avoidance
C．Mitigation
D．Acceptance
某項(xiàng)目經(jīng)理人說," 我將會(huì)采取必要的措施去控制風(fēng)險(xiǎn), 通過不斷地反復(fù)評(píng)估風(fēng)險(xiǎn), 制定應(yīng)變計(jì)劃或重做
如果風(fēng)險(xiǎn)事件確實(shí)發(fā)生, 我將會(huì)采取適當(dāng)?shù)男袆?dòng)"該經(jīng)理是在運(yùn)用什么方式去減少風(fēng)險(xiǎn)
A．轉(zhuǎn)移
B．回避
C．降低
D．接受

5．If a project manager has a very low tolerance for risk, he is said to be:
A．Risk averse
B．Risk tolerant
C．Risk reluctant
D．Methodical
如果一個(gè)項(xiàng)目經(jīng)理對(duì)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)難以忍受,,他是:
A．厭惡風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的
B．能承受風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的
C．不愿意有風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的
D．有辦法的

6．If the minimum payoffs of four different strategies A1, A2, A3, and A4 are –10, 15, 0, and –20 respectively, which strategy would a project manager choose, using the “maximin” or Wald criteria (risk avoide r)?
A．Strategy A1
B．Strategy A2
C．Strategy A3
D．Strategy A4
如果四個(gè)不同的策略 A1 A2 A3 和 A4 的最小報(bào)酬分別是-10,15,0, 和-20, 用” 最小最大化”或Wald 標(biāo)準(zhǔn)(避免風(fēng)險(xiǎn)), 項(xiàng)目經(jīng)理會(huì)選擇哪一個(gè)策略?
A．策略 A1
B．策略 A2
C．策略 A3
D．策略 A4

7．The iterative process that helps determine those risks that might affect the project and documenting their characteristics is known as:
A．Risk identification
B．Risk-handing
C．Lessons learned
D．Risk analysis
反復(fù)檢查,以幫助決定哪些風(fēng)險(xiǎn)會(huì)影響項(xiàng)目,并記錄風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的特性.這個(gè)過程被稱為是:
A．風(fēng)險(xiǎn)識(shí)別
B．風(fēng)險(xiǎn)處理
C．經(jīng)驗(yàn)教訓(xùn)學(xué)習(xí)
D．風(fēng)險(xiǎn)分析

8．Based on the data in the table below, which strategy has the highest expected value?
A．S1
B．S2
C．S3
D．S4
Payoff Table (Profit in Millions)
Strategy Scenario 1 25% Scenario 2 50% Scenario 3 25%
S1 　　　　　　80 　　 　　　　50 　　　　　　120
S2 　　　　　　80 　　 　　　　80 　　　　　　　80
S3 　　　　　　160 　　 　　　120 　　　　　　-20
S4 　　　　　　20 　　 　　　　40 　　　　　　20
S5 　　　　　　-20 　　 　　　　0 　　　　　　-60
基于下表數(shù)據(jù)計(jì)算, 哪一策略有最高的期望值?
A．S1
B．S2
C．S3
D．S4

9．Risk can have a positive or negative impact on a project．Future events or outcomes that are favor able are called:
A．Risks
B．Opportunities
C．Benefits
D．Contingencies
風(fēng)險(xiǎn)對(duì)項(xiàng)目可能有正面或負(fù)面的影響
未來的事件或結(jié)果是有利的被稱為:
A．風(fēng)險(xiǎn)
B．機(jī)會(huì)
C．受益
D．意外事件

10．Using the figure below, what is the probability that project1 will be selected and completed successfully?
A．50%
B．30%
C．60%
D．40%
用下面數(shù)字計(jì)算,項(xiàng)目1 將會(huì)被選擇并且成功完成的概率是多少?
A．50%
B．30%
C．60%
D．40%